Purchasing Managers’ Index for February 2026

2026-03-05 09:30 Print| Large| Medium| Small

Department of Service Statistics of NBS of China

China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing (CFLP)

I. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index

In February, the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) of China’s manufacturing industry came in at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight weakening in the manufacturing climate.

By enterprise size, the PMI for large-sized enterprises was 51.5%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points from the previous month, which was above the threshold, while the PMI for medium and small-sized enterprises stood at 47.5% and 44.8%, a decrease of 1.2 and 2.6 percentage points from the previous month, which was below the threshold.

By sub-index, among the five sub-indexes that constitute the manufacturing PMI, the production index, new order index, raw materials inventory index, employment index and supplier delivery time index were all below the threshold.

The production index was 49.6%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point from the previous month, indicating a moderation of production activities in the manufacturing industry.

The new order index was 48.6%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in the market demand climate of the manufacturing industry.

The raw materials inventory index was 47.5%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the decline in the inventories of major raw materials in the manufacturing industry narrowed slightly.

The employment index was 48.0%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight decline in the employment climate of the manufacturing industry.

The supplier delivery time index was 49.1%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point from the previous month, indicating that the delivery time of raw material suppliers in the manufacturing industry increased compared to the previous month.

China’s Manufacturing PMI and Sub-indexes (Seasonally Adjusted)

Unit: %

PMI

Production Index

New Order Index

Raw Materials Inventory Index

Employment Index

Supplier Delivery Time Index

2025-February

50.2

52.5

51.1

47.0

48.6

51.0

March

50.5

52.6

51.8

47.2

48.2

50.3

April

49.0

49.8

49.2

47.0

47.9

50.2

May

49.5

50.7

49.8

47.4

48.1

50.0

June

49.7

51.0

50.2

48.0

47.9

50.2

July

49.3

50.5

49.4

47.7

48.0

50.3

August

49.4

50.8

49.5

48.0

47.9

50.5

September

49.8

51.9

49.7

48.5

48.5

50.8

October

49.0

49.7

48.8

47.3

48.3

50.0

November

49.2

50.0

49.2

47.3

48.4

50.1

December

50.1

51.7

50.8

47.8

48.2

50.2

2026-January

49.3

50.6

49.2

47.4

48.1

50.1

February

49.0

49.6

48.6

47.5

48.0

49.1

Related Indexes of China’s Manufacturing PMI (Seasonally Adjusted)

Unit: %

New Export Order Index

Import Index

Purchase Quantity Index

Main Raw Materials Purchase Price Index

Producer Price Index

Finished Goods Inventory Index

Existing Order Index

Production and Operation Expectation Index

2025-February

48.6

49.5

52.1

50.8

48.5

48.3

46.0

54.5

March

49.0

47.5

51.8

49.8

47.9

48.0

45.6

53.8

April

44.7

43.4

46.3

47.0

44.8

47.3

43.2

52.1

May

47.5

47.1

47.6

46.9

44.7

46.5

44.8

52.5

June

47.7

47.8

50.2

48.4

46.2

48.1

45.2

52.0

July

47.1

47.8

49.5

51.5

48.3

47.4

44.7

52.6

August

47.2

48.0

50.4

53.3

49.1

46.8

45.5

53.7

September

47.8

48.1

51.6

53.2

48.2

48.2

45.2

54.1

October

45.9

46.8

49.0

52.5

47.5

48.1

44.5

52.8

November

47.6

47.0

49.5

53.6

48.2

47.3

45.5

53.1

December

49.0

47.0

51.1

53.1

48.9

48.2

46.0

55.5

2026-January

47.8

47.3

48.7

56.1

50.6

48.6

45.1

52.6

February

45.0

45.6

48.2

54.8

50.6

45.8

44.0

53.2

II. Non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index

In February, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 49.5%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in the climate of non-manufacturing industries.

By industry, the business activity index for the construction industry came in at 48.2%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry was 49.7%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of the service industry, the business activity indexes for accommodation, catering, culture, sports and entertainment were all in the high climate range of above 60.0%; those for capital market services, real estate, etc., were below the threshold.

The new order index was 45.2%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in the market demand of the non-manufacturing industry. By industry, the new order index for the construction industry came in at 42.2%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry stood at 45.7%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points from the previous month.

The input price index was 50.9%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an increase in the overall input prices for business operations among non-manufacturing enterprises. By industry, the input price index for the construction industry came in at 49.1%, a decrease of 2.9 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry stood at 51.2%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from the previous month.

The sales price index was 48.8%, flat with the previous month but still lower than the threshold, indicating that overall sales prices in the non-manufacturing industry were lower than those in the previous month. By industry, the sales price index for the construction industry came in at 47.6%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry stood at 49.0%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month.

The employment index was 46.0%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight decline in employment conditions among non-manufacturing enterprises. By industry, the employment index for the construction industry came in at 42.5%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry stood at 46.6%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month.

The business activity expectation index was 55.0%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point from the previous month, remaining within the range of a relatively high climate of activity and indicating that non-manufacturing enterprises remained confident in market development. By industry, the business activity expectation index for the construction industry came in at 50.9%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month; that for the service industry stood at 55.8%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points from the previous month.

Main Sub-indexes of China’s Non-manufacturing PMI (Seasonally Adjusted)

Unit: %

Business Activity Index

New Order Index

Input Price Index

Sales Price Index

Employment Index

Business Activity Expectation Index

2025-February

50.4

46.1

48.4

47.8

46.5

56.6

March

50.8

46.6

48.6

46.7

45.8

57.2

April

50.4

44.9

47.8

46.6

45.5

56.0

May

50.3

46.1

48.2

47.3

45.5

55.9

June

50.5

46.6

49.9

48.8

45.5

55.6

July

50.1

45.7

50.3

47.9

45.6

55.8

August

50.3

46.6

50.3

48.6

45.6

56.2

September

50.0

46.0

49.0

47.3

45.0

55.7

October

50.1

46.0

49.4

47.8

45.2

56.1

November

49.5

45.7

50.4

49.1

45.3

56.2

December

50.2

47.3

50.2

48.0

46.1

56.5

2026-January

49.4

46.1

50.0

48.8

46.1

56.0

February

49.5

45.2

50.9

48.8

46.0

55.0

Other Sub-indexes of China’s Non-manufacturing PMI (Seasonally Adjusted)

Unit: %

New Export Order Index

Existing Order Index

Inventory Index

Supplier Delivery Time Index

2025-February

49.5

43.1

45.2

53.1

March

49.8

43.7

45.7

51.1

April

42.2

42.3

45.1

50.8

May

48.0

43.4

46.1

51.1

June

49.8

43.4

44.8

51.2

July

48.8

42.3

45.3

51.2

August

48.8

43.4

45.7

51.3

September

49.8

44.4

44.9

51.1

October

46.2

43.6

46.0

50.9

November

47.9

43.6

44.8

51.2

December

47.5

43.5

45.2

51.3

2026-January

46.9

42.5

44.8

51.1

February

44.7

42.3

45.4

50.5

III. Composite PMI Output Index

In February, the composite PMI output index was 49.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a moderation in the overall production and business activities of Chinese enterprises compared with the previous month.

Annotations:

1. Notes on Indicators

Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a composite index based on the results of the monthly survey of purchasing managers in enterprises. It encompasses various aspects, including procurement, production, and distribution, across both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries. It is one of the internationally recognized leading indicators for monitoring macroeconomic trends, with strong predictive and early warning functions. Composite PMI Output Index is a comprehensive indicator within the PMI indicator system that reflects the overall changes in output across all industries (manufacturing and non-manufacturing) during the current period. A PMI reading above 50% indicates an expansion in the overall economy compared to the previous month, while a reading below 50% reflects a contraction.

2. Statistical Coverage

The survey involves 3,200 samples from 31 divisions of the manufacturing industry and 4,300 samples from 43 divisions of the non-manufacturing industry, as classified in the Industrial Classification for National Economic Activities (GB/T 4754-2017).

3. Survey Method

The PPS (Probability Proportional to Size) sampling method is adopted in the purchasing managers’ survey, with the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries serving as strata. The sample size for each industry is determined in proportion to its share of value-added in the total value-added of the respective industry. Within each stratum, samples are selected with probabilities proportional to the enterprises’ principal business revenue.

The survey was organized and implemented by survey teams directly affiliated with the NBS of China. The Online Reporting System of the NBS was used to conduct monthly survey questionnaires among the purchasing managers of the selected enterprises.

4. Calculation Methods

(1) Calculation Methods of Sub-indexes. The index system of the manufacturing purchasing managers’ survey covers 13 sub-indexes, namely production, new orders, new export orders, existing orders, finished goods inventory, purchase quantity, import, main raw materials purchase price, producer price, raw materials inventory, employment, supplier delivery time, and production and operation expectation. The index system of the non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ survey covers 10 sub-indexes, namely business activities, new orders, new export orders, existing orders, inventory, input price, sales price, employment, supplier delivery time, and business activity expectation. Sub-indexes adopt the diffusion index calculation method, i.e., the percentage of enterprises with positive answers plus half of the percentage of those with the same answers. Since there is no composite index for the non-manufacturing industry, the business activity index is generally used internationally to reflect the overall changes in non-manufacturing economic development.

(2) Calculation Methods of Manufacturing PMI. Manufacturing PMI is a weighted composite index calculated from five diffusion indexes (sub-indexes). Five sub-indexes and their weights are determined in accordance with their leading impact on the economy. Specifically, the new order index weights 30%; the production index weights 25%; the employment index weights 20%; the supplier delivery time index weights 15%; the raw materials inventory index weights 10%. Among them, the supplier delivery time index is a reverse index, which is inversely calculated when compiling the manufacturing PMI.

(3) Calculation Methods of Composite PMI Output Index. Composite PMI Output Index is calculated as a weighted sum of the manufacturing output index and the non-manufacturing business activity index. Their weights are respectively determined by the proportion of manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries in GDP.

5. Seasonal Adjustments

The purchasing managers’ survey is conducted on a monthly basis. Due to the influence of seasonal factors, the data may fluctuate significantly. All released indexes have been seasonally adjusted.