National Economy Witnessed Steady Progress with Positive Results Achieved in High-Quality Development in the First Three Quarters

National Bureau of Statistics of China

20 October, 2025

In the first three quarters, under the strong leadership of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments strictly implemented the decisions and arrangements made by the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability, fully and faithfully applied the new development philosophy on all fronts, accelerated the efforts to create a new pattern of development, meticulously implemented more proactive and effective macro policies, took active steps to strengthen domestic economy, promoted domestic and international economic dual circulation and made solid headway in pursuing high-quality development. As a result, the national economy sustained the steady development momentum with progress against the pressure, production and supply grew steadily, employment and prices were generally stable, new growth drivers showed stable development, and the people’s well-being was ensured in a strong and effective manner. The national economy demonstrated strong resilience and vitality.

According to preliminary estimates, the gross domestic product (GDP) in the first three quarters reached 101,503.6 billion yuan, up by 5.2 percent year on year at constant prices. By industry, the value added of the primary industry was 5,806.1 billion yuan, up by 3.8 percent year on year; that of the secondary industry was 36,402.0 billion yuan, up by 4.9 percent; and that of the tertiary industry was 59,295.5 billion yuan, up by 5.4 percent. By quarter, the GDP for the first quarter increased by 5.4 percent year on year, for the second quarter 5.2 percent, and for the third quarter 4.8 percent. The GDP for the third quarter increased by 1.1 percent quarter on quarter.

1. Agricultural Production Showed Good Momentum and Animal Husbandry Grew Steadily.

In the first three quarters, the value added of agriculture (crop farming) registered a year-on-year increase of 3.6 percent. The total output of summer grain and early rice was 178.25 million tons, 0.19 million tons more than that of last year, an increase of 0.1 percent. The autumn grain production was generally stable and another bumper harvest is to be expected for the year. In the first three quarters, the output of pork, beef, mutton and poultry was 73.12 million tons, up by 3.8 percent year on year. Of this total, the output of pork, beef, and poultry grew by 3.0 percent, 3.3 percent and 7.2 percent respectively while that of mutton dropped by 4.3 percent. The output of milk was up by 0.7 percent and that of eggs up by 0.2 percent. At the end of the third quarter, the number of pigs registered in stock was 436.80 million, up by 2.3 percent year on year; and 529.92 million pigs were slaughtered, up by 1.8 percent in the first three quarters.

2. Industrial Production Grew Fast and Equipment Manufacturing and High-Tech Manufacturing Showed Good Momentum of Growth.

The total value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size grew by 6.2 percent year on year in the first three quarters. In terms of sectors, the value added of mining increased by 5.8 percent year on year, that of manufacturing increased by 6.8 percent, and that of production and supply of electricity, heat power, gas and water increased by 2.0 percent. The value added of equipment manufacturing increased by 9.7 percent year on year, and that of high-tech manufacturing increased by 9.6 percent, 3.5 percentage points and 3.4 percentage points faster than that of the industrial enterprises above the designated size respectively. An analysis by types of ownership showed that the value added of state holding enterprises was up by 4.6 percent year on year; that of share-holding enterprises was up by 6.7 percent; that of enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan was up by 4.1 percent; and that of private enterprises was up by 6.1 percent. In terms of products, the production of 3D printing devices, industrial robots and new energy vehicles grew by 40.5 percent, 29.8 percent and 29.7 percent year on year respectively. In September, the value added of industrial enterprises above the designated size went up by 6.5 percent year on year, or up by 0.64 percent month on month. In September, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index stood at 49.8 percent, 0.4 percentage points higher than that of the previous month. The Production and Operation Expectation Index was 54.1 percent, 0.4 percentage points higher. In the first eight months, the total profits made by industrial enterprises above the designated size were 4,693.0 billion yuan, up by 0.9 percent year on year.

3. Service Sector Grew Steadily and Modern Services Enjoyed Sound Development.

In the first three quarters, the value added of service sector went up by 5.4 percent year on year. Specifically, the value added of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, transport, storage and postal services, and wholesale and retail grew by 11.2 percent, 9.2 percent, 5.8 percent and 5.6 percent respectively. In September, the Index of Services Production increased by 5.6 percent year on year. Specifically, the Index of Services Production of information transmission, software and information technology services, finance, leasing and business services, and transport, storage and post went up by 12.8 percent, 8.7 percent, 7.8 percent and 5.7 percent respectively. In the first eight months, the business revenue of service enterprises above the designated size grew by 7.7 percent year on year. In September, the Business Activity Index for Services stood at 50.1 percent. The Business Activity Expectation Index for Services was 56.3 percent, among which, the Business Activity Index for industries of postal services, telecommunication, broadcast, television and satellite transmission services, and monetary and financial services stayed within the high expansion range of 60.0 percent and above.

4. Market Sales Increased Steadily and Service Retails Grew Fast.

In the first three quarters, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 36,587.7 billion yuan, up by 4.5 percent year on year. Analyzed by different areas, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas reached 31,683.8 billion yuan, up by 4.4 percent year on year, and that in rural areas stood at 4,903.9 billion yuan, up by 4.6 percent. Grouped by consumption patterns, the retail sales of goods were 32,488.8 billion yuan, up by 4.6 percent; the income of catering was 4,098.9 billion yuan, up by 3.3 percent. Sales of basic living goods and certain upgraded goods enjoyed sound growth. The retail sales of grain, oil and food, of sports and recreational articles and of gold, silver and jewelry by enterprises above the designated size went up by 10.4 percent, 19.6 percent and 11.5 percent respectively. The effect of trade-in of consumer goods continued to manifest, with the retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, furniture, communication equipment and cultural and office supplies by enterprises above the designated size up by 25.3 percent, 21.3 percent, 20.5 percent and 19.9 percent respectively. The online retail sales reached 11,283.0 billion yuan, up by 9.8 percent year on year. Specifically, the online retail sales of physical goods were 9,152.8 billion yuan, up by 6.5 percent, accounting for 25.0 percent of the total retail sales of consumer goods. In September, the total retail sales of consumer goods went up by 3.0 percent year on year, or down by 0.18 percent month on month. In the first three quarters, the retail sales of services went up by 5.2 percent year on year. Specially, the retail sales of cultural, sports and leisure services, communication information services, tourism consultation and rental services, and transportation services grew fast.

5. Investment in Fixed Assets Was Stable with a Slight Drop and Investment in Manufacturing Grew Fast.

In the first three quarters, the investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households) reached 37,153.5 billion yuan, down by 0.5 percent year on year. The investment in fixed assets was up by 3.0 percent with the investment in real estate development deducted. Specifically, the investment in infrastructure grew by 1.1 percent year on year; that in manufacturing grew by 4.0 percent; and that in real estate development dropped by 13.9 percent. The floor space of newly-built commercial buildings sold was 658.35 million square meters, down by 5.5 percent year on year; and the total sales of newly-built commercial buildings were 6,304.0 billion yuan, down by 7.9 percent. By industry, the investment in the primary industry went up by 4.6 percent year on year, that in the secondary industry up by 6.3 percent, and that in the tertiary industry down by 4.3 percent. The private investment declined by 3.1 percent year on year, or grew by 2.1 percent with the investment in real estate development deducted.  Among high-tech industries, the investment in information services, aerospace vehicle and equipment manufacturing, and computer and office device manufacturing grew by 33.1 percent, 20.6 percent and 7.4 percent year on year respectively. In September, the investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households) declined by 0.07 percent month on month.

6. Imports and Exports of Goods Kept Growing and Trade Structure Continued to Optimize.

In the first three quarters, the total value of imports and exports of goods was 33,607.8 billion yuan, an increase of 4.0 percent year on year. The total value of exports was 19,945.0 billion yuan, up by 7.1 percent. The total value of imports was 13,662.9 billion yuan, down by 0.2 percent. The imports and exports by private enterprises grew by 7.8 percent, accounting for 57.0 percent of the total value of imports and exports, 2.0 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. The imports and exports with the Belt and Road partner countries grew by 6.2 percent. The exports of mechanical and electrical products grew by 9.6 percent, accounting for 60.5 percent of the total value of exports. In September, the total value of imports and exports was 4,043.6 billion yuan, up by 8.0 percent year on year. Specifically, the total value of exports was 2,344.5 billion yuan, up by 8.4 percent; the total value of imports was 1,699.1 billion yuan, up by 7.5 percent.

7. Core CPI Continued to Rise and Producer Prices for Industrial Products Witnessed a Narrowed Decline.

In the first three quarters, the consumer price index (CPI) dropped by 0.1 percent year on year. Grouped by commodity categories, prices for food, tobacco and alcohol went down by 0.8 percent; clothing up by 1.5 percent; housing up by 0.1 percent; articles and services for daily use up by 0.6 percent; transportation and communication down by 2.8 percent; education, culture and recreation up by 0.8 percent; medical services and health care up by 0.5 percent; and other articles and services up by 7.4 percent. In terms of food, tobacco and alcohol prices, the price for fresh vegetables went down by 7.9 percent, pork down by 2.9 percent, grain down by 1.2 percent, and fresh fruits up by 1.2 percent. In September, the CPI wend down by 0.3 percent year on year, or up by 0.1 percent month on month. In the first three quarters, the core CPI excluding the prices of food and energy grew by 0.6 percent year on year, 0.2 percentage points faster than that of the first half year. In September, the core CPI went up by 1.0 percent year on year, 0.1 percentage points faster than that of the previous month.

In the first three quarters, the producer prices for industrial products went down by 2.8 percent year on year. Specifically, the prices in September dropped by 2.3 percent year on year, a decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared with that of the previous month, or maintained the same level month on month. In the first three quarters, the purchasing prices for industrial producers went down by 3.2 percent year on year. Specifically in September, the prices dropped by 3.1 percent year on year, a decline narrowed by 0.9 percentage points compared with that of the previous month, or up by 0.1 percent month on month.

8. Employment Was Generally Stable and Urban Surveyed Unemployment Rate Declined.

In the first three quarters, the urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2 percent. In September, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.2 percent, 0.1 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. The surveyed unemployment rate of population with local household registration was 5.3 percent and that of population with non-local household registration was 4.9 percent, of which, the rate of population with non-local agricultural household registration stood at 4.7 percent. The urban surveyed unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5.2 percent, 0.1 percentage points lower than that of the previous month. The employees of enterprises worked 48.6 hours per week on average. By the end of the third quarter, the number of rural migrant workers totaled 191.87 million, up by 0.9 percent year on year.

9. Household Income Witnessed Stable Increase and Income Growth of Rural Households Outpaced That of Urban Households.

In the first three quarters, the nationwide per capita disposable income of households was 32,509 yuan, a nominal growth of 5.1 percent year on year; the real growth was 5.2 percent after deducting price factors. In terms of permanent residence, the per capita disposable income of urban households was 42,991 yuan, a nominal growth of 4.4 percent year on year and a real growth of 4.5 percent; the per capita disposable income of rural households was 17,686 yuan, a nominal growth of 5.7 percent year on year and a real growth of 6.0 percent. In terms of income sources, the nationwide per capita salary income, net business income, net property income and net income from transfers grew by 5.4 percent, 5.3 percent, 1.7 percent and 5.3 percent in nominal terms respectively. The median of the nationwide per capita disposable income of households was 27,149 yuan with a nominal growth of 4.5 percent year on year.

Generally speaking, policies and measures aimed at stabilizing employment and the economy continued to take effect in the first three quarters. Major macroeconomic indicators were generally stable, and the economy maintained a stable momentum of progress with positive results achieved in high-quality development. However, we should be aware that the economy still faces multiple risks and challenges, with increasing external instability and uncertainty and the foundation for sustained domestic economic recovery and growth to be further consolidated. At the next stage, we must follow the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, fully implement the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee, and adhere to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability. We must promote the implementation and improve the effectiveness of more proactive macroeconomic policies, endeavor to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets and expectations, and take solid steps to advance high-quality development so as to facilitate the sustained and sound economic growth.

Notes:

1. The growth rate of GDP and its sub-items are calculated at constant prices. The growth rates of value added of industrial enterprises above designated size and its sub-items are calculated at comparable prices. Both are real growth rates. The growth rates of other indicators are nominal growth by using current prices unless otherwise specified.

2. According to the auto-revision function of the seasonal adjustment model, revisions are made to quarter-on-quarter growth of GDP and to month-on-month changes of the value added of industrial enterprises above designated size, investment in fixed assets (excluding rural households), and total retail sales of consumer goods. The revised figures, quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for the third quarter of 2025 and month-on-month changes of other indicators for September 2025 are as follows:

The quarter-on-quarter growth of GDP in 2024 and in the first, the second and the third quarters of 2025 are 1.3 percent, 1.0 percent, 1.5 percent, 1.5 percent, 1.2 percent, 1.0 percent and 1.1 percent respectively.

Month-on-Month Growth Rate of Other Indicators

3. Industrial enterprises above designated size are industrial enterprises with annual revenue from principal business over 20 million yuan.

As industrial enterprises above the designated size change every year, to ensure the data comparability between years, the coverage of the data of the same period last year used for estimating year-on-year growth rates like that of products output, are as consistent as possible with the current period and different from the coverage of the data published last year. The main reasons are as follows: First, the statistical units change. Every year, some enterprises are included in the survey as they meet the threshold, while some enterprises are removed from the survey because of downsizing. Besides, enterprises that have newly gone into operation, been bankrupted, canceled their registrations or had their business licenses revoked also cause impact. Second, duplicated outputs across regions of enterprise groups have been removed based on the ad hoc surveys since duplication is found in the products output of some enterprise groups.

4. The Index of Services Production is the change of production in the reporting period compared to the base period with the price factors deducted.

5. The scope of the total retail sales of consumer goods include all legal entities, establishments and self-employed units involved in retail trades or providing catering services. Specifically, businesses above the designated size include wholesale enterprises (businesses, self-employed units), retail enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) and lodging and catering enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) with annual revenue from principal business over 20 million yuan, 5 million yuan and 2 million yuan respectively.

As the wholesale, retail, and lodging and catering enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) above the designated size change every year, to ensure the data comparability between years, the coverage of the data of the same period last year used for estimating year-on-year growth rates like that of the retail sales of consumer goods by businesses above the designated size is consistent with the current period and different from the coverage of data published last year. The main reasons are: some enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) are included in the survey as they meet the threshold, while some enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) are removed from the survey because of downsizing every year. Besides, enterprises (businesses, self-employed units) that have newly gone into operation, been bankrupted, canceled their registrations or had their business licenses revoked also cause impact.

Online retail sales refer to the retail sales of goods and services realized through internet trading platforms (including self-built websites and third-party platforms). Goods and services include physical goods and non-physical goods (e.g. virtual goods and services).

The total retail sales of consumer goods include the online retail sales of physical goods, but not the non-physical goods.

Data of total retail sales of consumer goods and online retail sales were revised according to the result of the Fifth National Economic Census. The monthly growth rates of relevant indicators of total retail sales of consumer goods and online retail sales in 2025 are calculated on a comparable basis.

6. The retail sales of services refer to the total value of services directly provided by enterprises (establishments, self-employed units) to individuals and other units for non-production and non-operating purposes in the form of transactions. It aims to reflect the value of services with the nature of consumption sold by service providers in monetary terms, including the retail sales of services in transportation, accommodation, catering, education, health, sports, entertainment, and other fields.

7. Data of investment in fixed assets of the same period last year were revised according to the results of methodology reform of investment statistics, the Fifth National Economic Census and the statistical law enforcement. The growth rates of investment in fixed assets are calculated on a comparable basis.

8. Data of imports and exports are from the General Administration of Customs.

9. Employed people refer to people aged 16 and above who have the ability to work and engage in gainful employment for remuneration payment or business income.

10. The median of the nationwide per capita disposable income of households refers to the per capita disposable income of households which lies in the middle of all surveyed households ranked from low to high on the basis of per capita disposable income level.

11. Due to the rounding-off reasons, the subentries may not add up to the aggregate totals.

In case of any differences between English translation and the original Chinese text, the Chinese edition shall prevail.