National Real Estate Development and Sales in the First Nine Months of 2015

National Bureau of Statistics of China 2015-10-19 16:58 Print| Large| Medium| Small

1. The completion of real estate investment

 

The total investment in real estate development in the first nine months of 2015 was 7,053.5 billion yuan, a nominal increase of 2.6 percent year-on-year (4.2 percent, after deducting price factors), 0.9 percentage points lower over the first eight months. Of which, the investment in residential buildings was 4,750.5 billion yuan, up by 1.7 percent, 0.6 percentage point higher, and accounted for 67.3 percent of real estate development investment.

 

 

 

In the first nine months, the real estate investment in eastern region stood at 3,986.5 billion yuan, up by 2.9 percent year-on-year, and the growth rate went down by 0.8 percentage points over the first eight months; the central region stood at 1,487.1 billion yuan, went up by 2.3 percent, and down by 1.2 percentage points; western region stood at 1,579.9 billion yuan, up by 2.1 percent, and a decrease of 1.2 percentage points.

 

In the first nine months, the floor space under construction by the real estate development enterprises accounted for 6936.52 million square meters, up by 3.0 percent year-on-year, rose by 0.5 percentage points over the first eight months. Of which, the floor space of residential building construction area was 4,829.19 million square meters, up by 0.8 percent. The floor space started this year was 1148.14 millions square meters, down by 12.6 percent, and the pace of decline narrowed by 4.2 percentage points. Specifically, the floor space of residential buildings started in the year amounted to 793.45 million square meters, down by 13.5 percent. The floor space of buildings completed stood at 509.67 million square meters, went down by 9.8 percent, and the pace of decline narrowed by 4.8 percentage points. Of which, the floor space completed of residential buildings stood at 377.92 million square meters, went down by 12.7 percent.

 

In the first nine months, the land area purchased by the real estate development enterprises totaled 158.90 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 33.8 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed by 1.7 percentage points over the first eight months. The total transaction of land reached 491.6 billion yuan, decreased 27.5 percent, and the pace of decrease expanded by 2.9 percentage points

 

 

 

2. Sales of Commercial Buildings

 

In the first nine months, the floor space of commercial buildings sold stood at 829.08 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 7.5 percent, and an increase of 0.3 percentage points over the first eight months. Of the total, the floor space of residential buildings increased 8.2 percent, office building increased 11.4 percent, and buildings for business use increased 1.8 percent. The sales of commercial buildings amounted to 5674.5 billion yuan, an increase of 15.3 percent, kept in the same level over the first eight months. Specifically, the sales of residential buildings went up by 18.2 percent, office buildings up by 2.1 percent, buildings for commercial business down by 1.7 percent.

 

 

 

In the first nine months, the sale of floor space of commercial buildings in eastern region amounted to 394.62 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 9.9 percent, an decrease of 0.2 percentage points over the first eight months. The amount of sales stood at 345.86 billion yuan, went up by 21.7 percent, an decrease of 0.5 percentage points. The sale of floor space of commercial buildings in central region amounted to 219.96 million square meters, increased 6.3 percent, an increase of 2.1 percentage points. The amount of sales stood at 112.33 billion yuan, increased 8.7 percent, an increase of 1.3 percentage points. The sale of floor space of commercial buildings in western region amounted to 214.50 million square meters, an increase of 4.5 percent, an decrease of 0.7 percentage points. The amount of sales stood at 109.25 billion yuan, went up by 4.3 percent, as the same level as the first eight months.

 

At the end of September, the floor space of commercial housing for sale reached 665.10 million square meters, increased 1.86 million square meters compared with that at the end of June. Of which, the residential buildings for sale increased 3.87 million square meters, office buildings increased 0.71 million square meters, buildings for business use went up by 4.83 million square meters.

 

3. Sources of Funds for Real Estate Development Enterprises

 

In the first nine months, the sources of funds for real estate development enterprises reached 9,065.3 billion yuan, up by 0.9 percent year-on-year, as the same level as the first eight months. Specifically, the domestic loans stood at 1,570.1 billion yuan, decreased 3.6 percent, foreign investment stood at 22.9 billion yuan, down by 46.8 percent, self-raising funds stood at 3,628.5 billion yuan, down by 3.3 percent, and other sources stood at 3,843.7 billion yuan, up by 7.9 percent. Among the other sources of funds, deposits and advance payments totaled 2,252.6 billion yuan, increased 4.4 percent, personal mortgage loans totaled 1,156.7 billion yuan, up by 18.1 percent.

 

 

 

4. National Real Estate Climate Index

 

In September, the national real estate climate index was 93.40, increased 0.06 points month-on-month.

 

Investment in Real Estate Development for January-September

 

Indicators

Absolute

Value

Growth Rate

Year-on-Year

(%)

 

 

 

 Investment in Real Estate (100 million yuan)

70535

2.6

  Of which: Residential Buildings

47505

1.7

      Office Buildings

4453

11.1

      Buildings for Commercial Business

10752

4.0

 Floor Space under Construction (10,000 sq.m)

693652

3.0

  Of which: Residential Buildings

482919

0.8

      Office Buildings

31055

13.4

      Buildings for Commercial Business

94165

8.6

 Floor Space of Houses Newly Started (10,000 sq.m)

114814

-12.6

  Of which: Residential Buildings

79345

-13.5

      Office Buildings

4759

-10.4

      Buildings for Commercial Business

17061

-6.6

 Floor Space of Buildings Completed (10,000 sq.m)

50967

-9.8

  Of which: Residential Buildings

37792

-12.7

      Office Buildings

1662

17.5

      Buildings for Commercial Business

6229

-2.8

 Land Acquisition Area (10,000 sq.m)

15890

-33.8

 Value of Land Transactions (100 million yuan)

4916

-27.5

 Floor Space of Commercial Buildings Sold (10,000 sq.m)

82908

7.5

  Of which: Residential Buildings

73189

8.2

      Office Buildings

1835

11.4

      Buildings for Business Use

5566

1.8

 Sales of Commercial Buildings (100 million yuan)

56745

15.3

  Of which: Residential Buildings

47898

18.2

      Office Buildings

2356

18.7

      Buildings for Commercial Business

5376

-1.7

 Floor Space of Commercial Housing for Sale (10,000 sq.m)

66510

16.4

  Of which: Residential Buildings

42474

12.7

      Office Buildings

3002

33.4

      Buildings for Commercial Business

13180

20.0

 Sources of Funds for Real Estate Development Enterprises

 (100 million yuan)

90653

0.9

  Of which: Domestic Loans

15701

-3.6

      Foreign Investment

229

-46.8

      Self-raising Funds

36285

-3.3

      Other Sources of Funds

38437

7.9

      Deposits and Advance Payments

22526

4.4

      Personal Mortgage

11567

18.1

 

 

 

 

 

Real Estate Investment in Eastern,

Central and Western Regions for January-September

 

Regions

Investment

(100 million yuan)

 

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

 

Residential Buildings

Residential Buildings

 

 

 

 

 

National Total

70535

47505

2.6

1.7

Eastern

39865

26745

2.9

2.6

Central

14871

10390

2.3

1.3

Western

15799

10370

2.1

-0.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales of Commercial Buildings in Eastern,

Central and Western Regions for January-September

 

Regions

Floor Space of Commercial Buildings Sold

Sales of Commercial Buildings

Absolute

Value(10,000 Sq.m)

 

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

Absolute

Value

(100 million yuan)

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

 

 

 

 

 

National Total

82908

7.5

56745

15.3

Eastern

39462

9.9

34586

21.7

Central

21996

6.3

11233

8.7

Western

21450

4.5

10925

4.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annotations:

 

1. Explanation of Indicator

 

The total investment in real estate development this year: refers to the investment of all construction projects for housing, land development projects, public welfare construction and land acquisition costs in the reporting period. The index is cumulatively statistical data based on the principle of image progress.

 

Area of commercial buildings sold: refer total areas sold of new commercial buildings in the contract during the reporting period (i.e. area of floor space designated in the formal contract signed by both sides). The indicator is cumulative data.

 

Value of commercial buildings sold: refers to the total contracted vale of new commercial buildings for sale during the reporting period (i.e. the total value of sales for selling of commercial building as designated in the formal contract signed by both sides). This indicator is cumulative data, as well as the sale of floor space of commercial buildings.

 

Floor space of commercial housing for sale: refers to the floor space of commercial housing having not been sold or rented, among the floor space of commercial housing for sale or for rent finished at the end of report period. The floor space of housing completed in previous years and in current period is included, while the floor space of housing not for sale or for rent, such as housing removal and compensation, unified construction and agent-construction, public buildings, housing for own use of real estate companies, relocation housing, is not included.

 

The sources of funds for real estate development enterprises in the year: refers to various currencies and sources of real estate development funds actually available by the real estate development enterprises in the reporting period. Specifically, it includes domestic loans, foreign investment, self-raised funds and other funds. The index is cumulative data.

 

Floor space of buildings under construction: refers to the total floor space of all buildings by the real estate development enterprises during the reference time. Including floor space newly started in current year, floor space of continued construction of the building from the former period, floor space of stopped or postponed in the previous period but recovered in current year, floor space completed during current year, and newly started floor space in current year but postponed. Floor space under construction of multi-storey buildings refers to the total floor space of all stories.

 

Floor space of houses newly started: refers to floor space of houses newly started by the real estate development enterprises during the reference time, the unit project as the accounting object. Not including continued construction area of housing which started in the previous period, and restarted construction area in the current year but stopped or postponed in the previous period. Specific due date is subject to starts to housing officially began ground-breaking gouge (ground treatment or permanent piles). Floor space of houses newly started refers to the entire floor spaces of whole building; the calculation can not be separated.

 

Floor space of buildings completed: refers to housing construction during the reporting period have been completed in accordance with design requirements, achieved to living and conditions of use, acceptance of accreditation standards or to the final acceptance, total building areas could formally handed over to be used.

 

Land acquisition area: refers to land area by the real estate development enterprises in the year through various ways to obtain land.

 

Value of land transactions: refers to final amount of transactions of land use rights by the real estate development enterprises. In the primary land market, refers to the final section of land allocation, "auction" price and sale price; the secondary land market, refers to the finalize the contract price on land transfer, lease, mortgage, etc.. Price of land transactions and land acquisition area are the same scope, December calculate the average purchase price of land.

 

2. Statistics coverage

 

All real estate development and corporate business units.

 

3. Survey methods

 

Collected monthly with complete enumeration (no report in January).

 

4. Brief description on national real estate climate index

 

National real estate climate index fluctuations follow by the economic cycle theory, according to the business cycle theory and business cycle analysis, based on the use of time series, multivariate statistical, econometric analysis, use the real estate development and investment as the benchmarks, selected related indicators such as real estate investment, capital, area, sales, conducted by the seasonal factors and random factors, adopting the growth rate cycle method. National real estate index selected year 2000 as the base year, its growth rate set at 100. Typically, the most appropriate level of national real estate climate index is 100, the moderate level is between 95 and 105, the lower level is below 95, and the higher level is above 105.

 

5. Division on Eastern, Central and Western Regions

 

Eastern region includes Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Liaoning, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Shandong, Guangdong, and Hainan. Central region includes Shanxi, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei, and Hunan. Western region includes Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Tibet, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Xinjiang.

 

6. Calculation on Growth Rate

 

The growth rate of real estate investment is nominal growth rate, due to the investment in fixed assets price index was calculated on quarterly, in addition to the January-March, January-June January-September, and January-December was calculated on computable real growth rate, the other months only calculated the nominal growth rate.