National Real Estate Development and Sales in October 2014

National Bureau of Statistics of China 2014-11-13 16:19 Print| Large| Medium| Small

1. The completion of real estate investment

 

The total investment in real estate development in the first ten months of 2014 was 7,722.0 billion yuan, a nominal increase of 12.4 percent year-on-year, 0.1 percentage point lower over the first nine months. Of which, the investment in residential buildings was 5,246.4 billion yuan, up by 11.1 percent, 0.2 percentage points lower, and accounted for 67.9 percent of real estate development investment.

 

 

 

In the first ten months, the real estate investment in eastern region stood at 4,319.5 billion yuan, up by 12.4 percent year-on-year, and the growth rate went down by 0.2 percentage points over the first nine months; the central region stood at 1,652.3 billion yuan, went up by 11.0 percent, and up by 0.3 percentage points; western region stood at 1,750.3 billion yuan, up by 14.0 percent, and the growth rate remained at the same level.

 

In the first ten months, the floor space under construction by the real estate development enterprises accounted for 6,921.32 million square meters, up by 12.3 percent year-on-year, 0.8 percentage points higher over the first nine months. Of which, the floor space of residential building construction area was 4,918.55 million square meters, up by 8.8 percent. The floor space started this year was 1,476.61 millions square meters, down by 5.5 percent, and the pace of decline narrowed 3.8 percentage points. Specifically, the floor space of residential buildings started in the year amounted to 1,028.79 million square meters, down by 9.8 percent. The floor space of buildings completed stood at 638.89 million square meters, went up by 7.6 percent, an increase of 0.4 percentage points. Of which, the floor space completed of residential buildings stood at 487.49 million square meters, went up by 5.1 percent.

 

In the first ten months, the land area purchased by the real estate development enterprises totaled 269.72 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.2 percent, while that in the first nine months was down by 4.6 percent. The total transaction of land reached 774.7 billion yuan, increased 20.4 percent, an increase of 8.9 percentage points.

 

 

 

2. Sales of Commercial Buildings

 

In the first ten months, the floor space of commercial buildings sold stood at 884.94 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed 0.8 percentage points over the first nine months. Of the total, the floor space of residential buildings decreased 9.5 percent, office building decreased 9.9 percent, and buildings for business use increased 8.2 percent. The sales of commercial buildings amounted to 5,638.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.9 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed 1.0 percentage point over the first nine months. Specifically, the sales of residential buildings went down by 9.9 percent, office buildings down by 20.4 percent, buildings for commercial business up by 8.3 percent.

 

In October, the floor space of commercial buildings sold stood at 113.62 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6 percent, and the pace of decline decreased 8.7 percentage points over last month. The sales of commercial buildings amounted to 715.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percent, and the pace of decline decreased 8.2 percentage points over last month.

 

 

 

In the first ten months, the sale of floor space of commercial buildings in eastern region amounted to 409.02 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 14.6 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed 0.7 percentage points over the first eight months. The amount of sales stood at 3,248.8 billion yuan, went down by 14.3 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed 1.2 percentage points. The sale of floor space of commercial buildings in central region amounted to 237.37 million square meters, decreased 2.8 percent, and the pace of decrease narrowed 0.1 percentage point. The amount of sales stood at 1,181.8 billion yuan, increased 1.1 percent, and the growth rate remained at the same level over the first nine months. The sale of floor space of commercial buildings in western region amounted to 238.55 million square meters, an increase of 1.1 percent, while that in the first nine months was down by 0.6 percent. The amount of sales stood at 1,207.9 billion yuan, went up by 4.0 percent, an increase of 1.2 percentage points.

 

At the end of October, the floor space of commercial housing for sale reached 582.39 million square meters, increased 10.91 million square meters compared with that at the end of September. Of which, the residential buildings for sale increased 6.11 million square meters, office buildings increased 0.88 million square meters, buildings for business use climbed 2.27 million square meters.

 

3. Sources of Funds for Real Estate Development Enterprises

 

In the first ten months, the sources of funds for real estate development enterprises reached 10,024.1 billion yuan, up by 3.1 percent year-on-year, 0.8 percentage points higher over the first nine months. Specifically, the domestic loans stood at 1,773.5 billion yuan, increased 11.1 percent, foreign investment stood at 48.9 billion yuan, up by 17.6 percent, self-raising funds stood at 4,223.2 billion yuan, up by 13.8 percent, and other sources stood at 3,978.6 billion yuan, down by 9.0 percent. Among the other sources of funds, deposits and advance payments totaled 2,421.3 billion yuan, decreased 11.2 percent, personal mortgage loans totaled 1,089.5 billion yuan, down by 4.3 percent.

 

 

 

4. National Real Estate Climate Index

 

In October, the national real estate climate index was 94.76, increased 0.04 points over that in last month.

 

Investment in Real Estate Development for January-October

 

Indicators

Absolute

Value

Growth Rate

Year-on-Year

(%)

 

 

 

 Investment in Real Estate (100 million yuan)

77220

12.4

  Of which: Residential Buildings

52464

11.1

      Office Buildings

4517

23.8

      Buildings for Commercial Business

11687

23.4

 Floor Space under Construction (10,000 sq.m)

692132

12.3

  Of which: Residential Buildings

491855

8.8

      Office Buildings

28273

25.9

      Buildings for Commercial Business

89557

21.2

 Floor Space of Houses Newly Started (10,000 sq.m)

147661

-5.5

  Of which: Residential Buildings

102879

-9.8

      Office Buildings

6013

19.5

      Buildings for Commercial Business

20731

4.4

 Floor Space of Buildings Completed (10,000 sq.m)

63889

7.6

   Of which: Residential Buildings

48749

5.1

          Office Buildings

1650

23.6

         Buildings for Commercial Business

7301

12.0

 Land Acquisition Area (10,000 sq.m)

26972

1.2

 Value of Land Transactions (100 million yuan)

7747

20.4

 Floor Space of Commercial Buildings Sold (10,000 sq.m)

88494

-7.8

  Of which: Residential Buildings

77607

-9.5

      Office Buildings

1838

-9.9

      Buildings for Business Use

6333

8.2

 Sales of Commercial Buildings (100 million yuan)

56385

-7.9

  Of which: Residential Buildings

46375

-9.9

      Office Buildings

2213

-20.4

      Buildings for Commercial Business

6305

8.3

 Floor Space of Commercial Housing for Sale (10,000 sq.m)

58239

28.4

  Of which: Residential Buildings

38286

28.6

      Office Buildings

2339

37.6

      Buildings for Commercial Business

11209

28.2

 Sources of Funds for Real Estate Development Enterprises

 (100 million yuan)

100241

3.1

  Of which: Domestic Loans

17735

11.1

      Foreign Investment

489

17.6

      Self-raising Funds

42232

13.8

      Other Sources of Funds

39786

-9.0

      Deposits and Advance Payments

24213

-11.2

      Personal Mortgage

10895

-4.3

 

 

 

 

 

Real Estate Investment in Eastern,

Central and Western Regions for January-October

 

Regions

Investment

(100 million yuan)

 

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

 

Residential Buildings

Residential Buildings

 

 

 

 

 

National Total

77220

52464

12.4

11.1

Eastern

43195

29059

12.4

10.6

Central

16523

11658

11.0

12.2

Western

17503

11747

14.0

11.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales of Commercial Buildings in Eastern,

Central and Western Regions for January-October

 

Regions

Floor Space of Commercial Buildings Sold

Sales of Commercial Buildings

Absolute

Value

(10,000 Sq.m)

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

Absolute

Value

(100 million yuan)

Growth Rate Y/Y (%)

 

 

 

 

 

National Total

88494

-7.8

56385

-7.9

Eastern

40902

-14.6

32488

-14.3

Central

23737

-2.8

11818

1.1

Western

23855

1.1

12079

4.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annotations:

 

1. Explanation of Indicator

 

The total investment in real estate development this year: refers to the investment of all construction projects for housing, land development projects, public welfare construction and land acquisition costs in the reporting period. The index is cumulatively statistical data based on the principle of image progress.

 

Area of commercial buildings sold: refer total areas sold of new commercial buildings in the contract during the reporting period (i.e. area of floor space designated in the formal contract signed by both sides). The indicator is cumulative data.

 

Value of commercial buildings sold: refers to the total contracted vale of new commercial buildings for sale during the reporting period (i.e. the total value of sales for selling of commercial building as designated in the formal contract signed by both sides). This indicator is cumulative data, as well as the sale of floor space of commercial buildings.

 

The sources of funds for real estate development enterprises in the year: refers to various currencies and sources of real estate development funds actually available by the real estate development enterprises in the reporting period. Specifically, it includes domestic loans, foreign investment, self-raised funds and other funds. The index is cumulative data.

 

Floor space of buildings under construction: refers to the total floor space of all buildings by the real estate development enterprises during the reference time. Including floor space newly started in current year, floor space of continued construction of the building from the former period, floor space of stopped or postponed in the previous period but recovered in current year, floor space completed during current year, and newly started floor space in current year but postponed. Floor space under construction of multi-storey buildings refers to the total floor space of all stories.

 

Floor space of houses newly started: refers to floor space of houses newly started by the e real estate development enterprises during the reference time, the unit project as the accounting object. Not including continued construction area of housing which started in the previous period, and restarted construction area in the current year but stopped or postponed in the previous period. Specific due date is subject to starts to housing officially began ground-breaking gouge (ground treatment or permanent piles). Floor space of houses newly started refers to the entire floor spaces of whole building; the calculation can not be separated.

 

Floor space of buildings completed: refers to housing construction during the reporting period have been completed in accordance with design requirements, achieved to living and conditions of use, acceptance of accreditation standards or to the final acceptance, total building areas could formally handed over to be used.

 

Land acquisition area: refers to land area by the real estate development enterprises in the year through various ways to obtain land.

 

Value of land transactions: refers to final amount of transactions of land use rights by the real estate development enterprises. In the primary land market, refers to the final section of land allocation, "auction" price and sale price; the secondary land market, refers to the finalize the contract price on land transfer, lease, mortgage, etc.. Price of land transactions and land acquisition area are the same scope, December calculate the average purchase price of land.

 

2. Statistics coverage

 

All real estate development and corporate business units.

 

3. Survey methods

 

Collected monthly with complete enumeration (no report in January).

 

4. Brief description on national real estate climate index

 

National real estate climate index fluctuations follow by the economic cycle theory, according to the business cycle theory and business cycle analysis, based on the use of time series, multivariate statistical, econometric analysis, use the real estate development and investment as the benchmarks, selected related indicators such as real estate investment, capital, area, sales, conducted by the seasonal factors and random factors, adopting the growth rate cycle method. National real estate index selected year 2000 as the base year, its growth rate set at 100. Typically, the most appropriate level of national real estate climate index is 100, the moderate level is between 95 and 105, the lower level is below 95, and the higher level is above 105.

 

5. Division on Eastern, Central and Western Regions

 

Eastern region includes Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Liaoning, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Shandong, Guangdong, and Hainan. Central region includes Shanxi, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei, and Hunan. Western region includes Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Tibet, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Xinjiang.

 

6. Calculation on Growth Rate

 

The growth rate of real estate investment is nominal growth rate, due to the investment in fixed assets price index was calculated on quarterly, in addition to the January-March, January-June, January-September, and January-December was calculated on computable real growth rate, the other months only calculated the nominal growth rate.