China's Non-manufacturing PMI was 54.5 Percent in July
National Bureau of Statistics of China2017-07-31 16:28




Department of Service Statistics of NBS

China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP)

 

In July 2017, China's non-manufacturing purchasing manager index was 54.5 percent, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, and was in line with the average of the first half year, the non-manufacturing industry continued a good development momentum of steady growth.

 


 

In view of different industries, non-manufacturing purchasing manager index of service industry was 53.1 percent, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, but 0.5 percentage points higher than the same period last year, the service industry continued rapid growth. Of which, the indices of air transport, post, telecommunications, broadcasting, television and satellite transmission services, Internet, software and information technology services, continued to be positioned in the high level of the range which above 60.0 percent, and the total enterprise business increased rapidly. The indices of transport via road, real estate, resident services and repair, were positioned in the contraction range, and the total business decreased. Non-manufacturing purchasing manager index of construction industry achieved 62.5 percent, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the production of enterprises maintained rapid growth.

 

New orders index was 51.1 percent, down by 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, and kept staying above the threshold, indicating that the growth of the non-manufacturing market demand slowed down slightly. In view of different industries, the new orders index of service industry was 50.2 percent, decreased 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, and staying in the expansion range for three consecutive months. The new orders index of construction industry was 56.0 percent, increased 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, and continued to be higher than the threshold.

 

Input price index was 53.1 percent, up by 1.9 percentage points from the previous month, and was above the threshold, indicating that the overall level of input price during the process of non-manufacturing enterprises’ operating activities continued to rise. In view of different industries, the intermediate input price indices of service industry was 51.9 percent, increased 2.3 percentage points from the previous month. The input price index of construction industry was 59.8 percent, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the previous month.

 

The sales price index was 50.9 percent, up by 1.6 percentage points from last month, and was back above the threshold, indicating that the overall level of non-manufacturing sales price went up. In view of different industries, the sales price index of service industry was 50.6 percent, an increase of 1.8 percentage points from the previous month. The sales price index of construction industry was 52.5 percent, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month.

 

Employment index was 49.5 percent, decreased 0.1 percentage point from the previous month, and continued to be lower than the threshold, indicating that the labor employment of non-manufacturing enterprises continued to decline. In view of different industries, the employment index of service industry was 48.6 percent, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month. The employment index of construction industry was 54.2 percent, an increase of 2.3 percentage points from the previous month.

 

Business activities expectation index was 61.1 percent, unchanged from last month, and staying in the high level of the range for three consecutive months. In view of different industries, the business activities expectation index of service industry was 60.4 percent, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. That of construction industry was 65.3 percent, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points from the previous month.

 

Main Indices of China's Non-manufacturing PMI (Seasonally adjusted)

Unit: %

 

Non-manufacturing

PMI

New Orders Index

Input Price Index

Sales Price Index

Employment Index

Business Activities Expectation Index

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2016-July

53.9

49.9

51.4

49.5

48.5

59.5

August

53.5

49.8

52.6

50.4

49.1

59.4

September

53.7

51.4

51.7

50.1

49.7

61.1

October

54.0

50.9

53.7

51.5

50.0

60.6

November

54.7

51.8

53.5

51.4

50.6

60.7

December

54.5

52.1

56.2

51.9

50.0

59.5

2017-January

54.6

51.3

55.1

51.0

49.8

58.9

February

54.2

51.2

53.7

51.4

49.7

62.4

March

55.1

51.9

52.3

49.7

49.1

61.3

April

54.0

50.5

51.7

50.2

49.5

59.7

May

54.5

50.9

51.1

48.8

49.0

60.2

June

54.9

51.4

51.2

49.3

49.6

61.1

July

54.5

51.1

53.1

50.9

49.5

61.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other Indices of China's Non-manufacturing PMI (Seasonally adjusted)

Unit: %

 

Foreign New Orders Index

Unfilled Orders Index

Stock Index

Supplier Delivery Time Index

 

 

 

 

 

2016-July

47.5

42.8

46.3

51.9

August

48.8

43.0

45.5

51.7

September

48.3

43.6

45.9

52.0

October

51.4

44.0

45.3

51.4

November

50.9

44.2

45.8

51.5

December

48.9

44.0

47.2

51.6

2017-January

46.4

44.6

46.2

51.4

February

50.1

43.5

45.8

52.1

March

48.8

44.7

45.8

51.4

April

47.1

44.0

46.2

52.0

May

48.5

43.7

46.1

51.8

June

49.8

44.6

45.9

51.8

July

52.1

43.9

45.9

51.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annotations:

 

1. Explanatory Notes

 

China non-manufacturing purchasing manager index system constituted by 10 sub-indices, they are business activity index, new orders index, new export orders index in hand orders index, stock index, input price index, sales price index, employment index, supplier delivery time index, and business activities expectation index. Due to the lack of synthesis of non-manufacturing integrated PMI index, the international society often used business activity index to reflect the overall changes in non-manufacturing economic development, A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates expansion from the previous month, while below indicates contraction.

 

2. Statistical Coverage

 

The survey involves 31 non-manufacturing industry divisions in the “Industrial Classification for National Economic Activities" (GB/T4754-2011), and was conducted in 4000 sampling enterprises of the non-manufacturing sector countrywide.

 

3. Survey Methods

 

Non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ survey was conducted in PPS ( Probability Proportional to Size) sampling method, using the non-manufacturing sectors as the selecting layers, distribution of sample size was according to their value-added accounted for the proportion of total non-manufacturing value-added, and samples within layers and the main business revenue of the enterprises were selected by the PPS.

 

The survey was organized and conducted by staff members of survey offices, monthly through Online Reporting System of NBS by sending survey questionnaires to the purchasing managers of the selected enterprises.

 

4. Calculation Methods

 

Non-manufacturing purchasing managers survey involves 10 questions on production, new orders (business required), export, existing orders, finished goods inventory, intermediate input price, subscription price, employees, suppliers delivery time, and business activities expectation. Diffusion index was calculated on each question, i.e. percentage of positive answers in number of enterprises plus half of the percentage in the same answers.

 

5. Seasonal Adjustment Note

 

The purchasing managers survey is a monthly survey, great fluctuations of data which affected by seasonal factors. The sub-indices of non-manufacturing PMI data released currently were all seasonally adjusted.  

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